Long Beach was in line to win the championship and for an opportunity to host
a regional as a national seed prior to being swept at home last weekend by
Riverside. Now, the Dirtbags cannot win the automatic bid as the Big West
champion due to that series loss as well as one to Irvine earlier in the season.
However, there is still much at stake for both teams because Fullerton cannot
afford to be swept and still get into a regional and with a series win, Long
Beach still has an opportunity to host a regional at Blair Field.
LINEUP
Long Beach's lineup was bashing their way to the Big West championship prior
to running into the Riverside pitching staff, averaging nearly 9 runs per game
in Big West games. After scoring at least six runs in 11 straight games (8+ runs
in 10 of those games), the Dirtbags offense came back to earth against Riverside
by scoring 11 runs (7 earned) in the three game series. Long Beach has hit for a
.316 average in Big West games and has displayed an unusual amount of power for
a Dirtbag team by averaging an HR per game (18 in 18 games). Long Beach hasn't
been running much (12 SB's - 5 by Peterson) and hasn't been bunting much (17 - 7
by Cline). They've been swinging away and have been productive at doing that
prior to the Riverside series.
C - Travis Howell (RH - .290 - 2 - 17 - 0) usually hits 8th in the lineup and
has taken over the C position after it was a platoon situation earlier in the
year, starting 14 of 18 Big West games. Howell has been red hot, hitting .392 in
conf games. He is adequate behind the plate (7-11 SB's, 15 WP's/PB's during the
conf season; 24-36 SB's overall). Howell went 1-4 and hit an HR in his only game
against Fullerton.
1B - Shane Peterson (LH - .343 - 4 - 38 - 10) was hitting .083 (3-36) going
into the first Fullerton series. The sight of the guys wearing orange F's on
their hats must have done something to Peterson because he has hit .414 since
then (55-133), including .421 in Big West games with 3 HR's and 20 RBI's.
Peterson usually hits 3rd and has to be kept under control, which Fullerton
hasn't done a good job of doing because he is 10-28 (.357 avg) in his career
against the Titans. Peterson is also the Sunday SP so he will DH then and
Brandon Godfrey (LH - .305 - 0 - 13 - 2) will start at 1B. Godfrey was hitting
well earlier this year (.340 going into the first Fullerton series) but injured
a wrist early in the conf season and has struggled since coming back, hitting
only .257. Godfrey is 7-28 in his career against Fullerton. Both are solid
defensively.
2B - Matt Cline (RH - .341 - 0 - 25 - 9) usually hit 9th last year and
earlier this year but when Long Beach moved some hitters around early in the
conf schedule, Cline was moved into the 2nd spot. Cline was hot earlier in the
year but has cooled off during Big West play (.266 avg). Cline leads the team
with 15 SAC bunts so he will be bunting at every opportunity to move a runner
over. Cline is a good fielder but has struggled defensively recently, making 6
E's in 17 conf games. Cline is 5-24 (.208 avg) in his career against Fullerton.
SS - Danny Espinosa (Both - .326 - 7 - 36 - 2) is the cleanup hitter and has
been one of the clutch hitters for the Dirtbags,
delivering several key hits such as the game winning 3 run HR in the 9th
inning at UCSB. He has still hit well (.323 - 3 - 12) in conf games despite
suffering an injury that kept him out of the lineup for a couple of weeks.
Espinosa has struggled defensively in conf games (10 E's in 15 games) after
playing well in the non-conf games (only 3 E's). He is 7-31 (.226 avg) in his
career against Fullerton.
3B - Jason Tweedy (LH - .226 - 1 - 16 - 0) and Taylor Krick (RH - .296 - 2 -
20 - 0) have shared this position all year but haven't provided much offense
except for when Krick got off to a hot start earlier in the season (11-24 - .458
avg - going into the first Fullerton series; 18-74 - .243 avg - since then).
They usually hit 8th or 9th and are hitting a combined .184 and have made six
E's in conf games, including a crucial one by Krick that allowed Riverside to
tie the game in the top of the 9th last Sunday. They combined to go 2-12 in the
first series with Fullerton.
LF - TJ Mittlestadt (LH - .286 - 0 - 5 - 2) is the leadoff hitter and took
advantage of some lineup shuffling at the start of the conf season after not
playing much while a bunch of guys played LF during the non-conf schedule.
Mittlestadt is very patient at the plate, with 30 BB's in only 136 plate apps.
He is a converted infielder and has been a little shaky defensively. He went 0-1
in the first series with Fullerton.
CF - Chris Nelson (RH - .303 - 4 - 16 - 4) didn't play much earlier in the
year as he recovered from a hamate injury but has gotten in the lineup more
often during conf play, starting 11 of 18 games. Nelson usually hits in the
lower part of the lineup and has some pop in his bat, with 3 HR's in 47 AB's in
conf games. Nelson is a good defensive player but the one error he made this
season was a memorable one that started the 9th inning rally in the Sunday game
against Fullerton that helped allow the Titans to score four unearned runs and
come back to win the game and the series. Nelson went 1-9 in the first series
with Fullerton.
RF - Robert Perry (LH - .322 - 6 - 45 - 0) usually hit leadoff hitter and
played in CF in his first 1 1/2 seasons but recently has been moved into the 5th
spot in the lineup and played more RF. Perry went from being the guy whose job
was to bunt and steal bases to somebody whose job is to drive in runs and he has
been very good at that, leading the team in RBI's. Perry has been red hot in
conf games, hitting .390 with 4 HR's and 25 RBI's. Perry is solid defensively in
CF and a very good RF. Perry is 6-32 (.188 avg) in his career against Fullerton.
When Perry shifts over to CF, Jason Corder (RH - .294 - 7 - 28 - 0) will be in
RF. Corder has good pop in his bat and is tied for the team lead in HR's,
although most of those were hit early in the season. Corder went 0-3 in his only
game against Fullerton. He is average defensively.
DH - Long Beach doesn't have a regular DH. Peterson will DH on Sundays when
he is pitching. In the first two games of the series, Godfrey is likely to start
one of those games and either Corder or AJ Pinocchio (Both - .264 - 1 - 16 - 4)
in the other one.
PITCHING
Long Beach has had to do quite a bit of shuffling with their starting
rotation due to injuries to two of their SP’s (Vance Worley and Manny McElroy).
For the first time this year, the Dirtbags have everybody back healthy, although
in different roles than where most of the pitchers were in earlier this year.
Long Beach's pitching has been up and down in conf games, allowing 5+ runs in 7
of 15 games that weren't played against Northridge.
Friday SP - Manny McElroy (RHP - 5-2, 3.69 ERA, 10 apps, 9 starts, 46 IP, 49
H's, 11 BB's, 24 K's, .269 BA) was scheduled to be the Sat SP earlier this year
but was injured in Feb and missed two months. McElroy has pitched well since
returning, allowing 7 runs in 29 IP (2.17 ERA) in his 5 starts. McElroy is a
control specialist who is usually around the plate but he has struggled with his
control in his last two outings, allowing 7 BB's in 10 2/3 IP, including 4 BB's
in 3 2/3 IP against Riverside last Friday. McElroy didn't pitch in the first
series against Fullerton.
Sat SP - Andrew Liebel (RHP - 7-3, 2.53 ERA, 23 apps, 4 starts, 85 IP, 80
H's, 13 BB's, 47 K's, .247 BA) was the primary middle reliever when Fullerton
played the Dirtbags earlier this year but due to the injuries to the SP's,
Liebel was moved into the rotation during the conf schedule. Liebel is 2-1 in
his four starts, with a 3.60 ERA in 30 IP, allowing 35 H's and only one walk.
Liebel does a good job of keeping the ball down in the zone. In two appearances
against Fullerton in the first series, Liebel went 1-1, allowing 3 R's on 4 H's
in 5 2/3 IP.
Sun SP - Shane Peterson (LHP - 2-1, 4.44 ERA, 13 apps, 12 starts, 47 IP, 45
H's, 15 BB's, 31 K's, .256 BA) or Omar Arif (LHP - 5-5, 2.61 ERA, 17 apps, 14
starts, 72 IP, 77 H's, 20 BB's, 38 K's, .275 BA). Long Beach's Sun SP is TBA but
it will either be Peterson or Arif. Arif is the typical "crafty lefty" and
usually doesn't pitch much more than 5-6 innings, with his longest start of the
season against Fullerton (6 2/3 IP, 5 H's, 1 unearned run, 1 BB, 6 K's). Arif
was taken out of the rotation after a couple of mediocre starts against Davis
and Pacific when McElroy was moved back into the rotation and Arif has been the
midweek SP and long reliever on the weekends for the past month. Peterson has
been the Sun SP since March but rarely throws more than five innings (longest
start of the year is 5 1/3 IP). Peterson also pitched well against Fullerton,
shutting out the Titans for 4 2/3 innings and allowing 2 H's. Peterson has not
made it past the 4th inning in 3 of his last 4 starts, including being pulled
after the 1st inning last Sunday.
Relievers - Long Beach has a deep bullpen that was affected by the injuries
to some of the SP's that resulted in some shuffling of roles. The closer is
Bryan Shaw (RHP - 6-2, 2.44 ERA, 9 saves, 44 IP, 36 H's, 21 BB's, 39 K's, .218
BA), who has converted blown 5 of 14 save chances, including last Sunday when a
two out error allowed Riverside to tie the game. Shaw struggled against
Fullerton earlier this season, blowing saves in both appearances and allowing 5
R's (1 ER) on 5 H's in 1 1/3 IP. Shaw has also struggled in conf games, with a
4.05 ERA in 8 apps, allowing 14 H's, 7 BB's and 7 R's (6 ER) in 13 IP.
Vance Worley (RHP - 1-2, 3.69 ERA, 11 apps, 9 starts, 54 IP, 58 H's, 12 BB's,
38 K's, .284 BA) recently returned from an elbow injury, throwing 1 1/3 innings
in two appearances, and took the loss last Sunday against Riverside after
allowing 1 R on 2 H's in 1/3 of an inning. Worley has allowed 8 R's on 14 H's in
10 IP in 5 apps (1 start) against Fullerton. The three primary middle relievers
since Liebel was moved into the rotation have been David Roberts (RHP - 3-0,
2.73 ERA, 25 apps, 33 IP, 32 H’s, 12 BB’s, 32 K’s, .258 BA) had 2 apps in the
first Fullerton series, allowing 0 R’s in 3 IP and has allowed 3 R’s in 12 IP in
10 apps in Big West games; Dustin Rasco (RHP - 1-0, 4.32 ERA, 21 apps, 25 IP, 16
H’s, 11 BB’s, 17 K’s, .180 BA) had 2 apps in the first Fullerton series,
allowing 0 R’s in 2 1/3 IP and has pitched well in Big West games, allowing 1 R
and 4 H’s in 9 1/3 IP in 7 apps and Adam Wilk (LHP - 3-0, 4.75 ERA, 21 apps, 30
IP, 37 H’s, 12 BB’s, 21 K’s, .296 BA) had 2 apps in the first Fullerton series,
allowing 2 R’s in 1 1/3 IP, and has struggled in Big West games, allowing 9 R’s
(7 ER) on 10 H’s in 7 apps (7 IP).
OUTLOOK
Fullerton has played very well against Long Beach since 2004, winning 16 of
the last 20 games. However, Fullerton has not played well lately in losing all
four series to teams that are .500 or better in the Big West. Long Beach was
playing very well in going 21-3 and beating the lower level and mid level Big
West teams until running into a red hot Riverside team last weekend. Will
Fullerton continue to play well against Long Beach and finally get a Big West
series win against one of the contenders? Or, will Long Beach bounce back from
getting swept by Riverside and play the way they did during their 21-3 streak?
Unless Fullerton gets some things straightened out offensively and with the
Sunday SP spot, it is tough to pick against Long Beach in this situation when
the Dirtbags likely need to win two games to host a regional and the Titans
likely need to win only one game to wrap up a spot in a regional. Either that or
I’m attempting to use reverse psychology and whenever I pick Fullerton to win a
series, they lose it (Irvine, UCSB, Cal Poly) and whenever I pick against the
Titans, they win the series (Wichita).