The Rebels have gotten off to an interesting start, losing 2 of 3 at
Northridge (picked unanimously by the Big West coaches to finish last) before
winning 2 of 3 at home last weekend against #19 Pepperdine (picked by the WCC
coaches to win the conference).
LINEUP
UNLV has an experienced lineup, returning 5 starters from last year along
with 3 part-time players. UNLV hit poorly at Fullerton, scoring 8 runs in 3
games. The returning players from that series hit .128, going 6-47. The two key
players to watch in the lineup are 2B/OF Keith Smith and DH Chad Miller, who
combined to hit 25 HR's and 115 RBI's last year. Smith also hit .359 and was all
MWC in '06. Two of the most productive hitters thus far for UNLV have been C
Michael Brenly (son of former major league catcher Bob Brenly) and SS Braden
Walker, who both have 7 RBI's. The hottest hitter for UNLV has been 1B Efren
Navarro, who is 11-26 thus far.
UNLV's lineup is mostly right-handed (Smith, Miller, Brenly and Walker are
all RH hitters), with the lefties of note being Navarro and OF Calvin Beamon
(leadoff hitter, redshirt in '06, had 100 AB's in '05 at Texas). UNLV doesn't
try to run much, with the two main base stealing threats being Beamon (3 SB's)
and OF Ryan Kowalski (14 SB's in '06). UNLV has only hit 2 HR's, which is a
little surprising considering they hit 71 HR's last year and both series they
have played have been at hitters' parks. UNLV's team average is .284, which is
decent but not great for college ball, but they have been patient at the plate
by drawing 32 BB's and they have scored 7+ runs in 4 of their 6 games.
UNLV plays well at home (18-10 last year including a series win against
Texas, 29-30 overall) and the ball flies out of Earl Wilson Stadium in the
altitude of the thin desert air so the Fullerton pitching staff will need to
keep the ball down.
PITCHING AND DEFENSE
UNLV returns all three SP's from last year, which isn't necessarily a good
thing with a staff ERA of 6.11 last year. UNLV's coach has moved two of those
SP's to the bullpen, using newcomers on Fri's and Sat's. UNLV is hoping the
bullpen keeps things close for the hitters to win the game for them late, as
they did against Pepperdine. The UNLV defense has committed 13 E's in 6 games,
contributing to 12 unearned runs. With the pressure that the Fullerton offense
puts on teams, if UNLV plays poor defense against the Titans they will be in for
a long weekend.
STARTERS
FRI SP - Craig Heyer (1-1, 5.25 ERA), RHP. JC transfer who has been UNLV's
best SP thus far with an ERA over 5, which tells you the state of affairs for
the UNLV pitching staff. Heyer has allowed 4 runs in each game and has had
control issues, allowing 8 BB's in 12 IP.
SAT SP - Matt Hutchinson (0-1, 5.62 ERA), RHP. FR who has been undermined by
shoddy defense (10 R's allowed, 5 unearned) and has gotten a quick hook in both
starts (8 IP, 14 H's allowed).
SUN SP - Kevin Skogley (0-1, 11.00 ERA), LHP. Skogley is the lone returning
SP in this year's rotation. He was probably UNLV's most effective SP last year
with hitters having a .279 BA against him, although his ERA was pretty bad at
6.52. In his appearance against Fullerton last year, he was roughed up (3 R's, 3
H's in 2 2/3 IP). He has also been roughed up this year, allowing 18 H's, 6 BB's
and 11 R's in 9 IP. Fullerton will make several lineup switches vs. Skogley like
the team did against Stanford's LHP on Sunday.
BULLPEN
UNLV has gotten some good work out of their bullpen to keep them in games.
Marc Baca, RHP, has been outstanding in 4 appearances. He has allowed 1 unearned
run on 5 H's in 6 2/3 IP. Adam Moser, RHP, has allowed 5 H's and 3 R's (2 ER) in
4 IP in 3 apps. The other 2 returning SP's from last year are both LHP's. Chris
Saddoris has pitched well, allowing 2 R's (1 ER) on 5 H's in 5 1/3 IP (3 apps).
Saddoris led UNLV with 6 wins last year and pitched well at Fullerton, allowing
3 R's and 7 H's in 6 IP. If Skogley is taken out of the rotation, Saddoris is
likely to get the ball on Sunday. Ryan Tabor has not pitched well, allowing 9
R's (6 ER) on 8 H's in 5 2/3 IP (2 apps).
OUTLOOK
Fullerton has played well against UNLV under Horton, going 20-3 overall and
7-2 in games played at UNLV. UNLV definitely got a confidence boost with the
series win against Pepperdine but Fullerton has a major advantage in starting
pitching over UNLV (with the anticipated move of Jorgenson into the rotation)
and has plenty of offense going into a hitters park to score runs against UNLV's
pitching staff. Fullerton should win at least two of three games in this series
and should only struggle if UNLV is able to keep things close and the bullpen
falters like it did in the Sunday game against Stanford.